Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erlensee vs Hunfelder

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Grunewald T.
55' Event
Damm N.
86' Event
Gadermann A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Erlensee in this Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erlensee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Erlensee
15%
Draws
68%
Hunfelder
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hunfelder

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Erlensee haven't matched Hunfelder's recent run of results.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Hunfelder taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Erlensee Clean Sheet 15%
Hunfelder Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erlensee Hunfelder
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 2
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.3 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Hunfelder
3:0
Oct 7, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Hunfelder vs Erlensee
4:2
Sep 1, 2021 Oberliga Hessen
Hunfelder vs Erlensee
1:1
Aug 14, 2021 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Hunfelder
3:2
Jun 12, 2021 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Hunfelder
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erlensee Compare

Top Goalscorer Grunewald T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Damm N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Hunfelder Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erlensee 10 / 100
Hunfelder 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erlensee Hunfelder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hunfelder Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hunfelder's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Erlensee scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Erlensee remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hunfelder
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erlensee

(Home)
25 Jan
Erlensee
0 : 4
Aschaffenburg
16 Jul
RW Walldorf
3 : 0
Erlensee
03 Jul
Erlensee
4 : 0
Hanau
27 Jun
Erlensee
1 : 5
Hanauer SC
01 Jun
Stadtallendorf
2 : 0
Erlensee
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Hunfelder

(Away)
29 Aug
Hummetroth
1 : 2
Hunfelder
22 Aug
Hunfelder
4 : 2
Eddersheim
15 Aug
Fernwald
1 : 3
Hunfelder
12 Aug
Kassel 2
0 : 2
Hunfelder
07 Aug
Hunfelder
0 : 1
VfB Marburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Giessen 34 22 7 5 69:28 73
2 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 23 5 6 93:42 71
3 Baunatal 34 20 7 7 70:43 67
4 Alzenau 34 19 6 9 72:40 63
5 Hanauer SC 34 19 3 12 70:55 57
6 Eddersheim 34 16 7 11 56:45 55
7 Hunfelder 34 16 6 12 67:62 54
8 Fernwald 34 15 5 14 64:55 50
9 Weidenhausen 34 14 8 12 62:56 50
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 7 14 62:63 46
11 Waldgirmes 34 11 7 16 48:76 40
12 Stadtallendorf 34 10 9 15 53:54 39
13 Hanau 34 9 7 18 56:78 34
14 VfB Marburg 34 9 7 18 46:71 34
15 SV Steinbach 34 7 12 15 46:69 33
16 Viktoria Griesheim 34 8 9 17 39:71 33
17 Erlensee 34 7 6 21 42:71 27
18 TUS Dietkirchen 34 6 6 22 49:85 24
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 (Relegation)