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Ermis Exochis vs Philippos Alexandreia Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ermis Exochis in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ermis Exochis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ermis Exochis
20%
Draws
22%
Philippos Alexandreia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ermis Exochis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Philippos Alexandreia haven't matched Ermis Exochis's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Ermis Exochis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ermis Exochis have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ermis Exochis Clean Sheet 20%
Philippos Alexandreia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Exochis Philippos Alexandreia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Philippos Alexandreia
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Philippos Alexandreia
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Philippos Alexandreia vs Ermis Exochis
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Exochis 85 / 100
Philippos Alexandreia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Exochis Philippos Alexandreia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Exochis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ermis Exochis scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Philippos Alexandreia conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ermis Exochis remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Exochis VS Philippos Alexandreia
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Exochis

(Home)
04 Oct
Ermis Exochis
3 : 1
Elassona
26 Sept
Anthoupoli
1 : 1
Ermis Exochis
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Ermis Exochis
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
Page 1 of 6

Philippos Alexandreia

(Away)
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Pierikos
1 : 2
Philippos Alexandreia
01 Apr
Philippos Alexandreia
0 : 3
Apollon Kalamaria
28 Mar
Philippos Alexandreia
1 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
22 Mar
Veria
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 27 21 4 2 54:7 67
2 Ethnikos Neou 27 19 6 2 63:27 63
3 Veria 27 14 5 8 38:23 47
4 Ermis Exochis 27 12 6 9 42:39 42
5 Philippos Alexandreia 27 9 5 13 29:40 32
6 Pierikos 27 9 3 15 23:34 30
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