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Ermis Exochis vs Pierikos Prediction & H2H Stats

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Ermis Exochis Logo

Ermis Exochis

1 - 0
FT
Pierikos Logo

Pierikos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Ermis Exochis and Pierikos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ermis Exochis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ermis Exochis
20%
Draws
22%
Pierikos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ermis Exochis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ermis Exochis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ermis Exochis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ermis Exochis here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ermis Exochis Clean Sheet 20%
Pierikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Exochis Pierikos
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.54 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Pierikos
1:0
Feb 2, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Pierikos
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Pierikos vs Ermis Exochis
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Exochis 85 / 100
Pierikos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Exochis Pierikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Exochis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis Exochis's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pierikos conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ermis Exochis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Exochis VS Pierikos
1.38 Goals Scored 0.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Exochis

(Home)
26 Sept
Anthoupoli
1 : 1
Ermis Exochis
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Ermis Exochis
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
28 Mar
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Pierikos
Page 1 of 6

Pierikos

(Away)
26 Sept
Pierikos
3 : 1
AE Iraklis Larissa
08 Apr
Pierikos
0 : 3
Veria
05 Apr
Pierikos
1 : 2
Philippos Alexandreia
01 Apr
Ethnikos Neou
4 : 0
Pierikos
28 Mar
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Pierikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 27 21 4 2 54:7 67
2 Ethnikos Neou 27 19 6 2 63:27 63
3 Veria 27 14 5 8 38:23 47
4 Ermis Exochis 27 12 6 9 42:39 42
5 Philippos Alexandreia 27 9 5 13 29:40 32
6 Pierikos 27 9 3 15 23:34 30
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