Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ermis Exochis vs Pierikos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ermis Exochis in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ermis Exochis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ermis Exochis
15%
Draws
0%
Pierikos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ermis Exochis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ermis Exochis average 1.56 goals a game right now, well clear of Pierikos's 1.17.
  • Model gives Ermis Exochis a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ermis Exochis here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ermis Exochis Clean Sheet 20%
Pierikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Exochis Pierikos
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.56 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Pierikos
1:0
Feb 2, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Pierikos
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Pierikos vs Ermis Exochis
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Exochis 85 / 100
Pierikos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Exochis Pierikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Exochis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pierikos lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Ermis Exochis's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Pierikos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Exochis VS Pierikos
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Exochis

(Home)
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Ermis Exochis
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
28 Mar
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Pierikos
22 Mar
Ethnikos Neou
5 : 2
Ermis Exochis
Page 1 of 6

Pierikos

(Away)
08 Apr
Pierikos
0 : 3
Veria
05 Apr
Pierikos
1 : 2
Philippos Alexandreia
01 Apr
Ethnikos Neou
4 : 0
Pierikos
28 Mar
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Pierikos
22 Mar
Pierikos
0 : 1
Apollon Kalamaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)