Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ermis Exochis vs Veria

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ermis Exochis
20%
Draws
40%
Veria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Veria lately — more wins on the board than Ermis Exochis.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ermis Exochis Clean Sheet 68%
Veria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Exochis Veria
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.56 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Veria
2:2
Jan 18, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Veria
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Veria vs Ermis Exochis
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Exochis 41 / 100
Veria 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Exochis Veria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Exochis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ermis Exochis scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ermis Exochis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Veria has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Exochis VS Veria
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Exochis

(Home)
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Ermis Exochis
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
28 Mar
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Pierikos
22 Mar
Ethnikos Neou
5 : 2
Ermis Exochis
Page 1 of 6

Veria

(Away)
08 Apr
Pierikos
0 : 3
Veria
05 Apr
Veria
0 : 1
Ethnikos Neou
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
28 Mar
Apollon Kalamaria
1 : 0
Veria
22 Mar
Veria
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)