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Ermis Kiveriou vs Pelopas Kiatou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 7
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ermis Kiveriou host Pelopas Kiatou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 7. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Pelopas Kiatou have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while Ermis Kiveriou have conceded 1.4 and scored 1.33. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.19 - 0.94) back Ermis Kiveriou to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ermis Kiveriou
20%
Draws
29%
Pelopas Kiatou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ermis Kiveriou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ermis Kiveriou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ermis Kiveriou's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ermis Kiveriou Clean Sheet 20%
Pelopas Kiatou Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Kiveriou Pelopas Kiatou
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Kiveriou 58 / 100
Pelopas Kiatou 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Kiveriou Pelopas Kiatou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Kiveriou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ermis Kiveriou scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Pelopas Kiatou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Ermis Kiveriou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pelopas Kiatou lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Kiveriou VS Pelopas Kiatou
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Kiveriou

(Home)
03 Oct
Ermis Kiveriou
3 : 1
Panthyreatikos
27 Sept
Ermis Kiveriou
2 : 2
Korinthos
01 Apr
Ermis Kiveriou
1 : 0
Diagoras Agias
24 Mar
Aittitos Spata
4 : 1
Ermis Kiveriou
18 Mar
Triglia Rafinas
1 : 0
Ermis Kiveriou
Page 1 of 6

Pelopas Kiatou

(Away)
03 Oct
Loutraki FC
2 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
27 Sept
Pelopas Kiatou
3 : 2
AE Asteras Vlachioti
08 Apr
Pyrgos
3 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
05 Apr
Pelopas Kiatou
0 : 0
Panegialios FC
01 Apr
Korinthos
1 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis Xylokastrou 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Korinthos 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
3 Ermis Kiveriou 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
4 Panthouriakos 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Loutraki FC 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
6 Miltiadis 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
7 Asteras Amaliadas 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
8 Pelopas Kiatou 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
9 Panargiakos 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 AE Asteras Vlachioti 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
11 Telos Agras 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
12 Panthyreatikos 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 (Losers stage)