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Ermis Meligous vs Panachaiki Prediction & H2H Stats

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Ermis Meligous and Panachaiki finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Panachaiki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ermis Meligous
15%
Draws
59%
Panachaiki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panachaiki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Panachaiki carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Panachaiki have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ermis Meligous Clean Sheet 10%
Panachaiki Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Meligous Panachaiki
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Panachaiki
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Panachaiki vs Ermis Meligous
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Panachaiki
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Meligous 30 / 100
Panachaiki 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Meligous Panachaiki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panachaiki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Panachaiki conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Ermis Meligous's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Ermis Meligous remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Meligous VS Panachaiki
0.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Meligous

(Home)
08 Apr
Ermis Meligous
7 : 0
Pangytheatikos
05 Apr
Panthouriakos
3 : 1
Ermis Meligous
01 Apr
Ermis Meligous
0 : 3
Panachaiki
28 Mar
Loutraki FC
1 : 0
Ermis Meligous
22 Mar
Ermis Meligous
1 : 2
Thyella Patras
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Panachaiki

(Away)
27 Sept
Panegialios FC
2 : 1
Panachaiki
08 Apr
Panachaiki
4 : 1
Panthouriakos
05 Apr
Panachaiki
2 : 2
Loutraki FC
01 Apr
Ermis Meligous
0 : 3
Panachaiki
28 Mar
Thyella Patras
1 : 0
Panachaiki
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