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Ermis Meligous vs Panthouriakos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Panthouriakos in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Panthouriakos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ermis Meligous
15%
Draws
64%
Panthouriakos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panthouriakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Panthouriakos lately — more wins on the board than Ermis Meligous.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Panthouriakos taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Panthouriakos here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ermis Meligous Clean Sheet 10%
Panthouriakos Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Meligous Panthouriakos
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Panthouriakos vs Ermis Meligous
3:1
Feb 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Panthouriakos
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Panthouriakos vs Ermis Meligous
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Meligous 10 / 100
Panthouriakos 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Meligous Panthouriakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panthouriakos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Panthouriakos conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ermis Meligous scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Ermis Meligous remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Meligous VS Panthouriakos
0.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Meligous

(Home)
08 Apr
Ermis Meligous
7 : 0
Pangytheatikos
05 Apr
Panthouriakos
3 : 1
Ermis Meligous
01 Apr
Ermis Meligous
0 : 3
Panachaiki
28 Mar
Loutraki FC
1 : 0
Ermis Meligous
22 Mar
Ermis Meligous
1 : 2
Thyella Patras
Page 1 of 6

Panthouriakos

(Away)
08 Apr
Panachaiki
4 : 1
Panthouriakos
05 Apr
Panthouriakos
3 : 1
Ermis Meligous
01 Apr
Thyella Patras
2 : 0
Panthouriakos
28 Mar
Pangytheatikos
0 : 6
Panthouriakos
22 Mar
Panthouriakos
3 : 0
Loutraki FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyrgos 22 18 2 2 45:7 56
2 Zakynthos 22 16 4 2 47:11 52
3 Panegialios FC 22 15 5 2 40:15 50
4 Miltiadis 22 9 6 7 32:23 33
5 Korinthos 22 8 8 6 35:31 32
6 Pelopas Kiatou 22 9 2 11 20:32 29
7 Panthouriakos 22 7 7 8 29:25 28
8 Loutraki FC 22 8 4 10 18:18 28
9 Panachaiki 22 7 6 9 29:26 27
10 Thyella Patras 22 5 6 11 20:30 21
11 Ermis Meligous 22 2 4 16 13:40 10
12 Pangytheatikos 22 0 2 20 8:78 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Losers stage)