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Ermis Meligous vs Thyella Patras

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thyella Patras in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thyella Patras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ermis Meligous
15%
Draws
69%
Thyella Patras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thyella Patras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Thyella Patras lately — more wins on the board than Ermis Meligous.
  • Thyella Patras are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Thyella Patras here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ermis Meligous Clean Sheet 14%
Thyella Patras Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Meligous Thyella Patras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Thyella Patras
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Thyella Patras vs Ermis Meligous
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Thyella Patras
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Meligous 23 / 100
Thyella Patras 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Meligous Thyella Patras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thyella Patras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Thyella Patras conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Ermis Meligous scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Ermis Meligous has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Meligous VS Thyella Patras
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Meligous

(Home)
08 Apr
Ermis Meligous
7 : 0
Pangytheatikos
05 Apr
Panthouriakos
3 : 1
Ermis Meligous
01 Apr
Ermis Meligous
0 : 3
Panachaiki
28 Mar
Loutraki FC
1 : 0
Ermis Meligous
22 Mar
Ermis Meligous
1 : 2
Thyella Patras
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Thyella Patras

(Away)
08 Apr
Thyella Patras
1 : 1
Loutraki FC
05 Apr
Pangytheatikos
0 : 4
Thyella Patras
01 Apr
Thyella Patras
2 : 0
Panthouriakos
28 Mar
Thyella Patras
1 : 0
Panachaiki
22 Mar
Ermis Meligous
1 : 2
Thyella Patras
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