Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ermis vs Akritas Chloraka

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Djile J.
57' Event

AI Match Summary

Ermis in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ermis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ermis
15%
Draws
34%
Akritas Chloraka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ermis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ermis haven't matched Akritas Chloraka's recent run of results.
  • Ermis are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ermis Clean Sheet 20%
Akritas Chloraka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Akritas Chloraka
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 6 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.79 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Division 2
Ermis vs Akritas Chloraka
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 Division 2
Akritas Chloraka vs Ermis
3:0
Feb 10, 2024 Division 2
Ermis vs Akritas Chloraka
0:2
Oct 21, 2023 Division 2
Ermis vs Akritas Chloraka
1:1
Feb 6, 2022 Division 2
Ermis vs Akritas Chloraka
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ermis Compare

Top Goalscorer Djile J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Akritas Chloraka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis 40 / 100
Akritas Chloraka 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Akritas Chloraka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akritas Chloraka has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ermis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Akritas Chloraka has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ermis VS Akritas Chloraka
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis

(Home)
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
26 Apr
Ermis
2 : 1
PO Xylotymbou 2006
20 Apr
ENAD
1 : 2
Ermis
14 Apr
Ermis
1 : 2
M.E.A.P. Nisou
06 Apr
Akritas Chloraka
3 : 0
Ermis
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Akritas Chloraka

(Away)
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
14 Aug
Paralimni
2 : 3
Akritas Chloraka
15 May
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 2
AEL Limassol
09 May
Omonia Aradippou
2 : 1
Akritas Chloraka
01 May
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 0
Achnas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis Yerolakkou 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Paralimni 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Achnas 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
4 Kitiou 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
5 ASIL Lysi 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
6 Ermis 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
7 Polemidion 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Doxa 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
9 Apea Akrotiriou 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
10 Digenis Akritas 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 M.E.A.P. Nisou 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Ayia Napa 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
13 PAEEK 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
14 Halkanoras 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
15 Akritas Chloraka 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
16 Anagennisi Derynia 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Division 2 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation Group)