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Ermis vs M.E.A.P. Nisou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ermis host M.E.A.P. Nisou in the Division 2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. M.E.A.P. Nisou have shipped 1.76 goals a game lately, while Ermis have conceded 2.43 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor M.E.A.P. Nisou slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2024, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.05 vs 1.06, favoring M.E.A.P. Nisou. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Ermis
20%
Draws
15%
M.E.A.P. Nisou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ermis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • M.E.A.P. Nisou have won more games recently than Ermis.
  • Win probability leans Ermis's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ermis Clean Sheet 20%
M.E.A.P. Nisou Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis M.E.A.P. Nisou
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 5 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Division 2
Ermis vs M.E.A.P. Nisou
1:2
Feb 17, 2024 Division 2
M.E.A.P. Nisou vs Ermis
0:0
Oct 7, 2023 Division 2
M.E.A.P. Nisou vs Ermis
1:2
Dec 22, 2022 Division 2
Ermis vs M.E.A.P. Nisou
0:1
Feb 8, 2009 Division 2
M.E.A.P. Nisou vs Ermis
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis 49 / 100
M.E.A.P. Nisou 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis M.E.A.P. Nisou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: M.E.A.P. Nisou conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Ermis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: M.E.A.P. Nisou registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ermis's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ermis VS M.E.A.P. Nisou
0.6 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
60% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis

(Home)
03 Oct
Ermis
0 : 3
Nea Salamis
20 Sept
Ermis
1 : 2
PAEEK
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
26 Apr
Ermis
2 : 1
PO Xylotymbou 2006
20 Apr
ENAD
1 : 2
Ermis
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M.E.A.P. Nisou

(Away)
18 Sept
Kitiou
4 : 1
M.E.A.P. Nisou
12 Sept
M.E.A.P. Nisou
0 : 0
Digenis Akritas
24 Apr
M.E.A.P. Nisou
3 : 3
Omonia 29th May
17 Apr
ASIL Lysi
2 : 1
M.E.A.P. Nisou
04 Apr
M.E.A.P. Nisou
0 : 2
Doxa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Achnas 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Paralimni 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
3 ASIL Lysi 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 Iraklis Yerolakkou 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
5 Doxa 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
6 Apea Akrotiriou 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
7 PAEEK 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
8 Polemidion 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Kitiou 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
10 Ermis 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
11 Digenis Akritas 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 M.E.A.P. Nisou 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
13 Ayia Napa 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
14 Akritas Chloraka 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
15 Halkanoras 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
16 Anagennisi Derynia 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Division 2 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation Group)