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Ermis vs PAEEK

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ermis host PAEEK in the Division 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ermis have averaged 0.79 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against PAEEK's 1.66 scored and 1.16 conceded. Head-to-head, Ermis have won 0 to PAEEK's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2024, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.36, favoring PAEEK. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ermis
30%
Draws
18%
PAEEK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ermis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • PAEEK have won more games recently than Ermis.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Ermis taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • PAEEK have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ermis Clean Sheet 18%
PAEEK Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis PAEEK
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 2 10
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.79 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Division 2
PAEEK vs Ermis
5:0
Jan 27, 2024 Division 2
Ermis vs PAEEK
1:3
Nov 11, 2023 Division 2
PAEEK vs Ermis
3:1
Mar 10, 2023 Division 2
Ermis vs PAEEK
0:1
Jan 21, 2023 Division 2
PAEEK vs Ermis
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis 67 / 100
PAEEK 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis PAEEK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Ermis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ermis's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

PAEEK has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ermis VS PAEEK
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis

(Home)
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
26 Apr
Ermis
2 : 1
PO Xylotymbou 2006
20 Apr
ENAD
1 : 2
Ermis
14 Apr
Ermis
1 : 2
M.E.A.P. Nisou
06 Apr
Akritas Chloraka
3 : 0
Ermis
Page 1 of 6

PAEEK

(Away)
12 Sept
PAEEK
2 : 4
Achnas
24 Apr
PAEEK
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
19 Apr
Ayia Napa
6 : 3
PAEEK
04 Apr
PAEEK
3 : 3
Omonia 29th May
21 Mar
Doxa
0 : 0
PAEEK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paralimni 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Achnas 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 ASIL Lysi 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Ermis 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Iraklis Yerolakkou 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Polemidion 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Doxa 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
8 Apea Akrotiriou 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
9 Digenis Akritas 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 M.E.A.P. Nisou 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Kitiou 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 PAEEK 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
13 Ayia Napa 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
14 Halkanoras 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
15 Akritas Chloraka 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
16 Anagennisi Derynia 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Division 2 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation Group)