Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ermis vs PAEEK

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2023/2024 Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gogos G.
45' Event
Chrysostomou I.
55' Event
Wisniewski A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2023/2024 game between Ermis and PAEEK finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PAEEK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ermis
30%
Draws
18%
PAEEK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ermis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PAEEK come out ahead of Ermis on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ermis's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Division 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors PAEEK here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ermis Clean Sheet 18%
PAEEK Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis PAEEK
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 2 10
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.79 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Division 2
PAEEK vs Ermis
5:0
Jan 27, 2024 Division 2
Ermis vs PAEEK
1:3
Nov 11, 2023 Division 2
PAEEK vs Ermis
3:1
Mar 10, 2023 Division 2
Ermis vs PAEEK
0:1
Jan 21, 2023 Division 2
PAEEK vs Ermis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ermis Compare

Top Goalscorer Wisniewski A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

PAEEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Gogos G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chrysostomou I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis 67 / 100
PAEEK 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis PAEEK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Ermis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ermis scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: PAEEK conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ermis VS PAEEK
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis

(Home)
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
26 Apr
Ermis
2 : 1
PO Xylotymbou 2006
20 Apr
ENAD
1 : 2
Ermis
14 Apr
Ermis
1 : 2
M.E.A.P. Nisou
06 Apr
Akritas Chloraka
3 : 0
Ermis
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PAEEK

(Away)
12 Sept
PAEEK
2 : 4
Achnas
24 Apr
PAEEK
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
19 Apr
Ayia Napa
6 : 3
PAEEK
04 Apr
PAEEK
3 : 3
Omonia 29th May
21 Mar
Doxa
0 : 0
PAEEK
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