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Stadium Background

Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Esenler Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Baiye B.
16'
Bilazer H.
32'
Rodriguez M.

AI Match Summary

Erokspor host Erzurumspor FK in the 1. Lig 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Erokspor have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Erzurumspor FK's 2.5 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Erokspor have won 1 to Erzurumspor FK's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.94, favoring Erzurumspor FK. Erzurumspor FK in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Erokspor
33%
Draws
40%
Erzurumspor FK
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Erzurumspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Erzurumspor FK has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Erokspor.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Erzurumspor FK.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 1. Lig 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Erokspor Clean Sheet 10%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erokspor Erzurumspor FK
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 16 22
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Erokspor
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Erzurumspor FK
1:2
Sep 20, 2024 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Erokspor
2:0
Nov 8, 2022 Turkish Cup
Erzurumspor FK vs Erokspor
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erokspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Keser B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sylla C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erokspor 26 / 100
Erzurumspor FK 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erokspor Erzurumspor FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erokspor scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Erzurumspor FK let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Erokspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Erzurumspor FK lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erokspor VS Erzurumspor FK
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54