Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erokspor vs F. Karagumruk

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Esenler Stadium, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Okyar M.
23'
Kanga G.
39' Event
Ozturk B.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

F. Karagumruk in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored F. Karagumruk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Erokspor
35%
Draws
49%
F. Karagumruk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: F. Karagumruk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erokspor lately — more wins on the board than F. Karagumruk.
  • F. Karagumruk are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Erokspor Clean Sheet 20%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erokspor F. Karagumruk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 1. Lig
Erokspor vs F. Karagumruk
0:2
Dec 3, 2025 Turkish Cup
Erokspor vs F. Karagumruk
2:5
Apr 9, 2025 1. Lig
Erokspor vs F. Karagumruk
2:1
Dec 1, 2024 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Erokspor
1:0
Nov 24, 2020 Turkish Cup
F. Karagumruk vs Erokspor
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erokspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

F. Karagumruk Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erokspor 16 / 100
F. Karagumruk 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erokspor F. Karagumruk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick F. Karagumruk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Erokspor scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

F. Karagumruk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Erokspor remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Erokspor VS F. Karagumruk
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erokspor

(Home)
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
03 Sept
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Erokspor
30 Aug
Erokspor
0 : 1
Igdir FK
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F. Karagumruk

(Away)
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3
F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
29 Aug
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 1
F. Karagumruk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
5 Sariyer 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 Keciorengucu 8 3 4 1 17:10 13
7 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
9 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
11 Bandirmaspor 8 2 4 2 12:5 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10:13 10
13 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
14 Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
16 Umraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 8 1 3 4 8:17 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)