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Erokspor vs Mardin 1969 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Esenler Stadium, Istanbul
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erokspor host Mardin 1969 in the 1. Lig. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Erokspor have averaged 1.43 scored and 0.96 conceded recently, against Mardin 1969's 1.43 scored and 0.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Erokspor slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2022, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.63 - 1.19) back Mardin 1969 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Erokspor
30%
Draws
41%
Mardin 1969
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Mardin 1969 have won more games recently than Erokspor.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Erokspor Clean Sheet 20%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erokspor Mardin 1969
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 3. Lig Group 3
Erokspor vs Mardin 1969
3:0
Oct 13, 2021 3. Lig Group 3
Mardin 1969 vs Erokspor
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erokspor 32 / 100
Mardin 1969 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erokspor Mardin 1969

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mardin 1969 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erokspor found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Erokspor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Mardin 1969 conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Erokspor VS Mardin 1969
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Erokspor

(Home)
10 Oct
Istanbulspor AS
0 : 1
Erokspor
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
03 Sept
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Erokspor
Page 1 of 6

Mardin 1969

(Away)
11 Oct
Bursaspor
1 : 2
Mardin 1969
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
07 Sept
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
Bodrumspor
02 Sept
Sivasspor
2 : 2
Mardin 1969
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)