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Erpeldange vs Dudelange Prediction & H2H Stats

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Dudelange advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Erpeldange
15%
Draws
59%
Dudelange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dudelange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Dudelange carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dudelange's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Dudelange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dudelange, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Erpeldange Clean Sheet 10%
Dudelange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erpeldange Dudelange
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 0 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.95 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.85 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2015 Luxembourg Cup
Erpeldange vs Dudelange
0:2
Feb 27, 2010 Luxembourg Cup
Erpeldange vs Dudelange
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erpeldange 10 / 100
Dudelange 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erpeldange Dudelange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dudelange Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erpeldange scored in 80% of their last 20 games.

Dudelange's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Erpeldange went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erpeldange VS Dudelange
3 Goals Scored 2.38
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erpeldange

(Home)
20 Sept
Erpeldange
3 : 4
Lorentzweiler
29 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 8
Mondorf
01 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 0
Blo Weiss Medernach
18 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 3
Schifflange
28 Oct
Erpeldange
2 : 6
Luxembourg City
Page 1 of 4

Dudelange

(Away)
20 Sept
Diekirch
1 : 3
Dudelange
16 Sept
Dudelange
2 : 4
Kaerjeng
12 Sept
Hostert
0 : 0
Dudelange
06 Sept
Dudelange
1 : 3
Racing Luxembourg
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Dudelange
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Mondorf -
TBD -
FC Orania Vianden 0
Hostert 7
Sporting Bertrange 2
Alliance Aischdall 1
TBD -
Luxembourg City -
Victoria Rosport -
TBD -
Lorentzweiler 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Hesperange 3
Alisontia Steinsel 2
TBD -
Racing Luxembourg -
UNA Strassen -
TBD -
US Sandweiler 3
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Bissen 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
TBD -
Ettelbruck -
Progres Niedercorn -
TBD -
AS Hosingen 3
FC 47 Bastendorf 4
Lintgen 4
Echternach 2
TBD -
Fola -
Dudelange -
TBD -
FC Residence Walferdange 1
Erpeldange 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Red Boys Aspelt 0
TBD -
Jeunesse Esch -
Differdange -
TBD -
Union Tetange 0
Avenir Beggen 1
Grevenmacher -
TBD -
FC Munsbach 2
Kaerjeng 4
Rumelange -
TBD -
Kehlen 0
FC Mamer 1
Jeunesse Schieren 3
Mondercange 1
TBD -
Wiltz -
Esch 3
Oberkorn 1
Union Remich/Bous 2
FF Norden 3
FC Rodange 91 7
FC Brouch 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Union Titus Petange 5
1/16-finals
Mondorf 2
Hostert 1
Sporting Bertrange 0
Luxembourg City 4
Victoria Rosport 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Hesperange 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
UNA Strassen 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Bissen 1
Ettelbruck 2
Progres Niedercorn 5
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Lintgen 1
Fola 3
Dudelange 2
Erpeldange 0
Jeunesse Canach 1
Jeunesse Esch 4
Differdange 4
Avenir Beggen 1
Grevenmacher 0
Kaerjeng 1
Rumelange 2
FC Mamer 0
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Wiltz 4
Esch 3
FF Norden 0
FC Rodange 91 3
Union Titus Petange 4
1/8-finals
Mondorf 2
Luxembourg City 0
Victoria Rosport 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
UNA Strassen 3
Ettelbruck 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Fola 4
Dudelange 5
Jeunesse Esch 0
Differdange 2
Kaerjeng 3
Rumelange 1
Wiltz 0
Esch 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Quarter-finals
Mondorf 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
UNA Strassen 0
Fola 4
Dudelange 4
Kaerjeng 2
Rumelange 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Semi-finals
Mondorf 1
Fola 0
Dudelange 4
Union Titus Petange 0
Final
Mondorf 0
Dudelange 1