Sport Picks
Erpeldange vs Lorentzweiler Prediction & H2H Stats
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Cup 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-4. This leg finished 3-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lorentzweiler
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Erpeldange lately — more wins on the board than Lorentzweiler.
- Model gives Lorentzweiler a 57% chance of winning this.
- Erpeldange have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lorentzweiler, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Erpeldange Clean Sheet 10%
Lorentzweiler Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erpeldange | Lorentzweiler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 19 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.95 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.85 | 2.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Luxembourg Cup
Erpeldange vs Lorentzweiler
3:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erpeldange 18 / 100
Lorentzweiler 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erpeldange Lorentzweiler
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lorentzweiler Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erpeldange's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.
Lorentzweiler's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 19 matches.
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Away concern: Lorentzweiler has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Erpeldange VS Lorentzweiler
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Erpeldange
(Home) 20 Sept
Erpeldange
3 : 4 Lorentzweiler
29 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 8 Mondorf
01 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 0 Blo Weiss Medernach
18 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 3 Schifflange
28 Oct
Erpeldange
2 : 6 Luxembourg City
Page 1 of 4
20 Sept
Erpeldange
3 : 4 Lorentzweiler
29 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 8 Mondorf
01 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 0 Blo Weiss Medernach
18 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 3 Schifflange
28 Oct
Erpeldange
2 : 6 Luxembourg City
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Lorentzweiler
(Away) 20 Sept
Erpeldange
3 : 4 Lorentzweiler
16 Jul
Lorentzweiler
3 : 5 FC Residence Walferdange
09 Nov
Lorentzweiler
2 : 4 FC Rodange 91
21 Sept
Gasperich
0 : 1 Lorentzweiler
06 Oct
Lorentzweiler
0 : 2 Victoria Rosport
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20 Sept
Erpeldange
3 : 4 Lorentzweiler
21 Sept
Gasperich
0 : 1 Lorentzweiler
29 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 0 Lorentzweiler
01 Oct
Oberkorn
1 : 4 Lorentzweiler
22 Sept
US Berdorf Consdorf
2 : 3 Lorentzweiler
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
US Folschette 1
Mondercange 4
Diekirch 1
Dudelange 3
Pratzerthal/Redange 1
Rumelange 9
AS Hosingen 0
Racing Luxembourg 6
Echternach 2
Hesperange 1
Grevenmacher 3
FC Residence Walferdange 2
US Moutfort/Medingen 1
The Belval Belvaux 4
FC Schengen 0
Ettelbruck 1
CS Sanem 1
Victoria Rosport 3
Syra Mensdorf 1
Kaerjeng 9
Sporting Bertrange 3
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
Hostert 2
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
FC Mamer 4
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 1
Mondorf 10
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 1
SC Ell 1
Jeunesse Canach 4
Alliance Aischdall 0
Berdenia Berbourg 7
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Jeunesse Esch 1
FC Kopstal 33 0
Progres Niedercorn 7
US Sandweiler 2
Wiltz 6
Lintgen 3
Fola 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Bettembourg 2
Les Aiglons Dalheim 0
Union Titus Petange 8
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Union Remich/Bous 4
Les Ardoisiers Perle 0
Avenir Beggen 7
Esch 0
UNA Strassen 8
Erpeldange 3
Lorentzweiler 4
US Boevange/Attert 1
US Feulen 3
ALSS Luxembourg 1
Bissen 3
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Differdange 5
Jeunesse Schieren 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Koeppchen 3
1/16-finals
Mondercange -
Dudelange -
Rumelange -
Racing Luxembourg -
Echternach -
Grevenmacher -
The Belval Belvaux -
Ettelbruck -
Victoria Rosport -
Kaerjeng -
Sporting Bertrange -
Hostert -
FC Mamer -
Mondorf -
Luxembourg City -
Jeunesse Canach -
Berdenia Berbourg -
Jeunesse Esch -
Progres Niedercorn -
Wiltz -
Lintgen -
Bettembourg -
Union Titus Petange -
Union Remich/Bous -
Avenir Beggen -
UNA Strassen -
Lorentzweiler -
US Feulen -
Bissen -
Differdange -
FC Rodange 91 -
Koeppchen -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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