Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2015/2016

CD Beti Onak

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erriberri play CD Beti Onak in the Tercera Division - Group 15 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Erriberri averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. CD Beti Onak averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Erriberri won 1, CD Beti Onak won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 7, 2016 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Erriberri and 0.99 for CD Beti Onak. This points to a CD Beti Onak double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Erriberri

25%

Draws

42%

CD Beti Onak

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: CD Beti Onak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Erriberri picked up more points recently compared to CD Beti Onak.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Erriberri Clean Sheet 23%

CD Beti Onak Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Erriberri	CD Beti Onak
Matches Played	32	37
Wins	8	11
Draws	6	11
Losses	18	15
Goals Scored	0.78	1.35
Goals Conceded	1.66	1.46

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15

Erriberri vs CD Beti Onak

Possession: 43% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

0:5

Dec 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15

CD Beti Onak vs Erriberri

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Feb 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15

Erriberri vs CD Beti Onak

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Oct 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15

CD Beti Onak vs Erriberri

Possession: 60% - 60% Cards: 3 - 4

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erriberri 34 / 100

CD Beti Onak 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Erriberri CD Beti Onak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Beti Onak or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Erriberri attacking → ← attacking CD Beti Onak

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erriberri scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

CD Beti Onak let in goals in 81% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Erriberri went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Beti Onak lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 44

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Osasuna B	38	25	9	4	81:24	84
2	Cirbonero	38	24	8	6	67:32	80
3	AD San Juan	38	23	8	7	65:31	77
4	Mutilvera	38	22	10	6	81:35	76
5	Cortes	38	21	10	7	48:30	73
6	CD Ardoi	38	17	14	7	69:40	65
7	Valle Egues	37	15	10	12	55:51	55
8	Burlades	38	14	8	16	47:43	50
9	CD River Ega	38	15	5	18	48:58	50
10	Subiza	38	12	13	13	57:62	49
11	Txantrea	38	13	9	16	70:66	48
12	Pamplona	38	12	11	15	50:49	47
13	CD Cantolagua	38	11	11	16	40:54	44
14	Iruna	38	12	8	18	51:58	44
15	Huarte	38	9	12	17	39:52	39
16	Erriberri	37	9	12	16	21:53	39
17	Oberena	38	9	10	19	38:67	37
18	CD Baztan	38	9	5	24	53:97	32
19	CD Beti Onak	38	6	10	22	42:81	28
20	Mendi	38	5	9	24	34:73	24