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Stadium Background

Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Batyr Ekibastuz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ertis Pavlodar 2 play Batyr Ekibastuz in the First Division 2005. Ertis Pavlodar 2 are favorites here. Recently, Ertis Pavlodar 2 averaged 2.05 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Batyr Ekibastuz averaged 0.51 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, Ertis Pavlodar 2 won 5, Batyr Ekibastuz won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 7, 2007 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Ertis Pavlodar 2 and 0.88 for Batyr Ekibastuz. This points to a Ertis Pavlodar 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Ertis Pavlodar 2
16%
Draws
13%
Batyr Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Ertis Pavlodar 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ertis Pavlodar 2 picked up more points recently compared to Batyr Ekibastuz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Ertis Pavlodar 2 Clean Sheet 25%
Batyr Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ertis Pavlodar 2 Batyr Ekibastuz
Matches Played 40 39
Wins 20 2
Draws 5 12
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 2.05 0.51
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2007 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Batyr Ekibastuz
1:0
Jun 17, 2007 First League
Batyr Ekibastuz vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
0:3
Sep 8, 2006 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Batyr Ekibastuz
3:0
Jun 13, 2006 First League
Batyr Ekibastuz vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
0:2
Sep 19, 2005 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Batyr Ekibastuz
6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ertis Pavlodar 2 69 / 100
Batyr Ekibastuz 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ertis Pavlodar 2 Batyr Ekibastuz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ertis Pavlodar 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ertis Pavlodar 2 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ertis Pavlodar 2 attacking → ← attacking Batyr Ekibastuz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ertis Pavlodar 2 scored in 85% of their last 40 games.

Batyr Ekibastuz let in goals in 85% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ertis Pavlodar 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Batyr Ekibastuz lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 18
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kaisar Kyzylorda22174151:1055
2Cesna Almaty22172357:1653
3Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty22146270:2348
4Gornyak Khromtay22133630:2642
5Kaspij Aktau22106631:1736
6Ordabasy 22294940:4831
7Zhambyl Taraz22731224:3124
8Munaily Atyrau22731220:3824
9AI-Universitet22561119:4121
10Zhastar Uralsk22531421:4618
11Aktobe 222331626:6512
12Zhetysu Taldykorgan 222231714:429
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Energetik Pavlodar242130109:766
2Spartak Semey24185176:1759
3Ertis Pavlodar 224153660:2848
4Shakhter Yunost24132935:3041
5Ayat Rudnyi241101328:4033
6Asbest Zitikara241031130:3433
7Eurasia Astana24941125:3431
8Vostok Oskemen 224851139:4329
9Aksu24731422:4324
10Batyr Ekibastuz24641425:5222
11Spartak Semey 224631523:5921
12Kyzylzhar Academy24541520:7319
13Bolat24471312:4419