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Stadium Background

Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ertis Pavlodar 2 play Shakhter Karagandy 2 in the First Division 2006. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ertis Pavlodar 2 averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Shakhter Karagandy 2 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Ertis Pavlodar 2 won 2, Shakhter Karagandy 2 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 1, 2007 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Ertis Pavlodar 2 and 1.11 for Shakhter Karagandy 2. This points to a Shakhter Karagandy 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ertis Pavlodar 2
40%
Draws
29%
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Shakhter Karagandy 2 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ertis Pavlodar 2.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in First Division 2006 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ertis Pavlodar 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Shakhter Karagandy 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ertis Pavlodar 2 Shakhter Karagandy 2
Matches Played 38 40
Wins 19 21
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2007 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy 2
4:1
May 27, 2007 First League
Shakhter Karagandy 2 vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
0:1
Aug 27, 2006 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy 2
0:1
Jun 29, 2006 First League
Shakhter Karagandy 2 vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ertis Pavlodar 2 32 / 100
Shakhter Karagandy 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ertis Pavlodar 2 Shakhter Karagandy 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ertis Pavlodar 2 scored in 87% of their last 38 games.

Shakhter Karagandy 2 let in goals in 60% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ertis Pavlodar 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shakhter Karagandy 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Shakhter Karagandy 2
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zhetysu Taldykorgan262510119:1476
2Kaspij Aktau26193463:2060
3Gornyak Khromtay26171840:2552
4Cesna Almaty26164664:3052
5Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty26155639:2550
6Akzhayik Uralsk26161956:3149
7Zhambyl Taraz2698935:3035
8Aktobe 2261031343:5033
9Munaily Atyrau26671325:4825
10Ordabasy 226731634:6524
11Koksu26621832:5920
12AI-Universitet26541729:5719
13Kaisar Kyzylorda 226431923:7115
14Zhastar Uralsk26332012:8912
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avangard Petropavlovsk24163539:1951
2Asbest Zitikara24155437:1750
3Shakhter Karagandy 224128425:1244
4Spartak Semey24127546:2543
5Kazakhmys24125736:3541
6Shakhter Yunost24115841:2538
7Aksu24106832:2836
8Ertis Pavlodar 2241041038:2834
9Rakhat Astana2496927:2633
10Vostok Oskemen 224951033:3732
11Tobol 224441620:4116
12Energetik Pavlodar 224421817:4714
13Batyr Ekibastuz24202213:646