Sport Picks
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Shakhter Yunost
Kazakhstan
First Division 2005 
AI Match Summary
Ertis Pavlodar 2 play Shakhter Yunost in the First Division 2005. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ertis Pavlodar 2 averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Shakhter Yunost averaged 2 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Ertis Pavlodar 2 won 3, Shakhter Yunost won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 16, 2007 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Ertis Pavlodar 2 and 1.81 for Shakhter Yunost. This points to a Ertis Pavlodar 2 double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ertis Pavlodar 2 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shakhter Yunost.
- Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Ertis Pavlodar 2.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in First Division 2005 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ertis Pavlodar 2 | Shakhter Yunost |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 37 |
| Wins | 19 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ertis Pavlodar 2 scored in 87% of their last 38 games.
Shakhter Yunost let in goals in 57% of their last 37 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Ertis Pavlodar 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Shakhter Yunost lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 51:10 | 55 |
| 2 | Cesna Almaty | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 70:23 | 48 |
| 4 | Gornyak Khromtay | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 30:26 | 42 |
| 5 | Kaspij Aktau | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 31:17 | 36 |
| 6 | Ordabasy 2 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 40:48 | 31 |
| 7 | Zhambyl Taraz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 24:31 | 24 |
| 8 | Munaily Atyrau | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 9 | AI-Universitet | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19:41 | 21 |
| 10 | Zhastar Uralsk | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 21:46 | 18 |
| 11 | Aktobe 2 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 26:65 | 12 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14:42 | 9 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Energetik Pavlodar | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 109:7 | 66 |
| 2 | Spartak Semey | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 76:17 | 59 |
| 3 | Ertis Pavlodar 2 | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 60:28 | 48 |
| 4 | Shakhter Yunost | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 35:30 | 41 |
| 5 | Ayat Rudnyi | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 28:40 | 33 |
| 6 | Asbest Zitikara | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 30:34 | 33 |
| 7 | Eurasia Astana | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 25:34 | 31 |
| 8 | Vostok Oskemen 2 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 9 | Aksu | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 22:43 | 24 |
| 10 | Batyr Ekibastuz | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 25:52 | 22 |
| 11 | Spartak Semey 2 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 23:59 | 21 |
| 12 | Kyzylzhar Academy | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Bolat | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 12:44 | 19 |