Sport Picks
Ertis Pavlodar vs FC Astana
Kazakhstan
Premier League Centralnyj Stadion, Pavlodar 
AI Match Summary
Ertis Pavlodar host FC Astana in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ertis Pavlodar at 0.75 goals for, 1.25 against; FC Astana at 1.25 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor FC Astana slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.25) point toward FC Astana. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to FC Astana lately — more wins on the board than Ertis Pavlodar.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ertis Pavlodar | FC Astana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ertis Pavlodar's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
FC Astana has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 0.40 goals as a typical output.
Ertis Pavlodar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ertis Pavlodar
(Home)FC Astana
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 37:13 | 42 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:12 | 40 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:24 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Astana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Ulytau | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 15:16 | 27 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Aktobe | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Tobol | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:26 | 19 |
| 10 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Atyrau | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 13:16 | 18 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:27 | 18 |
| 13 | Kaspij Aktau | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Altai | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 15 | Kyzylzhar | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18:26 | 16 |
| 16 | Ertis Pavlodar | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 14:22 | 11 |