Sport Picks
Ertis Pavlodar vs Ordabasy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
Premier League Centralnyj Stadion, Pavlodar 
AI Match Summary
Ertis Pavlodar host Ordabasy in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ordabasy have shipped 0.76 goals a game lately, while Ertis Pavlodar have conceded 1.36 and scored 0.96. Past meetings favor Ordabasy slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 2.00) point toward Ordabasy. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ertis Pavlodar haven't matched Ordabasy's recent run of results.
- Ordabasy are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ertis Pavlodar | Ordabasy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 22 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ertis Pavlodar's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Recent resilience: Ertis Pavlodar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Ordabasy has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ertis Pavlodar
(Home)Ordabasy
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 52:20 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:27 | 48 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41:32 | 45 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41:37 | 45 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 36:36 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35:36 | 37 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenis | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Kyzylzhar | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28:40 | 27 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 20:29 | 26 |
| 13 | Ertis Pavlodar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26:36 | 26 |
| 14 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 15 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26:45 | 22 |
