Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

Premier League Centralnyj Stadion

Ertis Pavlodar

0 - 1

Zhenis

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Jevtic M.

46'

Sub

Buranchiev A. In: Khalmatov M.

Out: Buranchiev A.

46'

Sub

Vidic D. In: Zharynbetov S.

Out: Vidic D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zhenis in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zhenis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Ertis Pavlodar

44%

Draws

20%

Zhenis

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Zhenis average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Ertis Pavlodar's 0.75.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Ertis Pavlodar Clean Sheet 19%

Zhenis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ertis Pavlodar	Zhenis
Matches Played	28	32
Wins	9	9
Draws	9	11
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	0.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Premier League

Ertis Pavlodar vs Zhenis

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League

Zhenis vs Ertis Pavlodar

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Oct 25, 2008 Premier League

Ertis Pavlodar vs Zhenis

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

5:2

Mar 30, 2008 Premier League

Zhenis vs Ertis Pavlodar

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Sep 30, 2007 Premier League

Zhenis vs Ertis Pavlodar

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ertis Pavlodar 36 / 100

Zhenis 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ertis Pavlodar Zhenis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZHE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ertis Pavlodar found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Zhenis conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ertis Pavlodar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ertis Pavlodar VS Zhenis

0.75 Goals Scored 1.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kairat Almaty	19	12	6	1	37:13	42
2	Ordabasy	17	12	4	1	30:12	40
3	Okzhetpes	18	8	6	4	24:24	30
4	FC Astana	17	8	5	4	25:19	29
5	Ulytau	18	7	6	5	15:16	27
6	Yelimay Semey	16	7	5	4	24:19	26
7	Aktobe	17	7	4	6	22:18	25
8	Zhenis	18	5	7	6	15:20	22
9	Tobol	18	5	4	9	20:26	19
10	Kaisar Kyzylorda	19	3	10	6	14:21	19
11	Atyrau	17	3	9	5	13:16	18
12	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	18	4	6	8	21:27	18
13	Kaspij Aktau	18	5	3	10	16:23	18
14	Altai	17	3	7	7	12:18	16
15	Kyzylzhar	18	4	4	10	18:26	16
16	Ertis Pavlodar	17	1	8	8	14:22	11