Sport Picks
Ertis Pavlodar vs Zhenis
Kazakhstan
Premier League Centralnyj Stadion, Pavlodar 
Match Events
33'
33'
Jevtic M.
46'
46'
Sub
Buranchiev A. In: Khalmatov M.
Out: Buranchiev A.
46'
46'
Sub
Vidic D. In: Zharynbetov S.
Out: Vidic D.
AI Match Summary
Zhenis in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zhenis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhenis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Zhenis lately — more wins on the board than Ertis Pavlodar.
- Model gives Zhenis a 45% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ertis Pavlodar Clean Sheet 18%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ertis Pavlodar | Zhenis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 Premier League
Ertis Pavlodar vs Zhenis
0:1
Jun 20, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs Ertis Pavlodar
0:0
Oct 25, 2008 Premier League
Ertis Pavlodar vs Zhenis
5:2
Mar 30, 2008 Premier League
Zhenis vs Ertis Pavlodar
1:1
Sep 30, 2007 Premier League
Zhenis vs Ertis Pavlodar
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ertis Pavlodar 23 / 100
Zhenis 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ertis Pavlodar Zhenis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zhenis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ertis Pavlodar found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: Zhenis conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Ertis Pavlodar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ertis Pavlodar VS Zhenis
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ertis Pavlodar
(Home) 30 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1 Aktobe
16 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
0 : 2 Tobol
09 Aug
Yelimay Semey
3 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar
01 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
3 : 2 Kaspij Aktau
25 Jul
Ulytau
1 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1 Aktobe
16 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
0 : 2 Tobol
01 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
3 : 2 Kaspij Aktau
11 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar
0 : 1 Zhenis
28 Jun
Ertis Pavlodar
1 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 3
Zhenis
(Away) 29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0 Altai
19 Aug
Zhenis
3 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
02 Aug
Zhenis
0 : 0 Yelimay Semey
29 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3 : 1 Zhenis
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3 : 1 Zhenis
26 Jul
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 2 Zhenis
11 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar
0 : 1 Zhenis
03 Jul
FC Astana
1 : 0 Zhenis
14 Jun
Ulytau
2 : 1 Zhenis
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 46:16 | 55 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 44:15 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 37:24 | 42 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35:31 | 39 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 33:28 | 35 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 31:28 | 32 |
| 7 | Ulytau | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:24 | 31 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 22:24 | 29 |
| 9 | Tobol | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26:31 | 28 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25:31 | 26 |
| 11 | Kyzylzhar | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 24:35 | 23 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 17:24 | 20 |
| 13 | Ertis Pavlodar | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22:31 | 20 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 20:30 | 20 |
| 15 | Altai | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 20:34 | 19 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:41 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
