Sport Picks
Ertis Pavlodar vs Zhetisay
Kazakhstan
First League 2025 Centralnyj Stadion, Pavlodar 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Ertis Pavlodar in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ertis Pavlodar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Ertis Pavlodar at 1.91 per game, Zhetisay at 1.66.
- Model gives Ertis Pavlodar a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ertis Pavlodar | Zhetisay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.91 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ertis Pavlodar Compare
Zhetisay Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ertis Pavlodar's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Zhetisay let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Zhetisay has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ertis Pavlodar
(Home)Zhetisay
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 74:27 | 68 |
| 2 | Ertis Pavlodar | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 71:20 | 61 |
| 3 | Altai | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:23 | 55 |
| 4 | Shakhter Karagandy | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 61:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Zhetisay | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 44:35 | 42 |
| 6 | Kairat Almaty 2 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 58:42 | 40 |
| 7 | Akademiya Ontustik | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 44:44 | 39 |
| 8 | Taraz | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43:38 | 35 |
| 9 | AKAS | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 42:39 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Ekibastuz | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 36:60 | 28 |
| 11 | SD Family | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 33:75 | 23 |
| 12 | Khan Tengri | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Aktobe 2 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 34:65 | 16 |
| 14 | Turkistan | 26 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 16:80 | 9 |
