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Ertis Pavlodar W vs Kyzylzhar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Blank A.
Assist: Aminjonova A.
61' Event
Abdina A.
Assist: Sultan N.

AI Match Summary

Kyzylzhar W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyzylzhar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Ertis Pavlodar W
15%
Draws
71%
Kyzylzhar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kyzylzhar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kyzylzhar W lately — more wins on the board than Ertis Pavlodar W.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Kyzylzhar W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Ertis Pavlodar W Clean Sheet 10%
Kyzylzhar W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ertis Pavlodar W Kyzylzhar W
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 5 21
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.11 3.6
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 League Women
Ertis Pavlodar W vs Kyzylzhar W
0:2
May 5, 2026 League Women
Kyzylzhar W vs Ertis Pavlodar W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ertis Pavlodar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kyzylzhar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Blank A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ertis Pavlodar W 10 / 100
Kyzylzhar W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ertis Pavlodar W Kyzylzhar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyzylzhar W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ertis Pavlodar W scored in 67% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Kyzylzhar W let in goals in 37% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Ertis Pavlodar W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ertis Pavlodar W VS Kyzylzhar W
1.25 Goals Scored 4.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ertis Pavlodar W

(Home)
08 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
2 : 1
Ertis Pavlodar W
28 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 12
Aktobe W
25 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 2
Kyzylzhar W
18 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy W
2 : 1
Ertis Pavlodar W
11 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
2 : 0
Altai W
Page 1 of 4

Kyzylzhar W

(Away)
08 Sept
Kyzylzhar W
4 : 0
Altai W
01 Sept
Kyzylzhar W
7 : 0
FC Astana W
25 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 2
Kyzylzhar W
17 Aug
Kyzylzhar W
5 : 0
Okzhetpes W
10 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 3
Kyzylzhar W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)