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Ertis Pavlodar W vs Okzhetpes W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Islamgaliqi A.
90' Event
Islamgaliqi A.
Assist: Baisseit A.

AI Match Summary

The League Women game between Ertis Pavlodar W and Okzhetpes W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ertis Pavlodar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ertis Pavlodar W
15%
Draws
42%
Okzhetpes W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ertis Pavlodar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Okzhetpes W haven't matched Ertis Pavlodar W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ertis Pavlodar W a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Ertis Pavlodar W Clean Sheet 14%
Okzhetpes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ertis Pavlodar W Okzhetpes W
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 5 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 10 28
Goals Scored 1.11 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.39 6.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 League Women
Ertis Pavlodar W vs Okzhetpes W
2:0
Jun 9, 2026 League Women
Okzhetpes W vs Ertis Pavlodar W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ertis Pavlodar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Islamgaliqi A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Okzhetpes W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ertis Pavlodar W 48 / 100
Okzhetpes W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ertis Pavlodar W Okzhetpes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ertis Pavlodar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Okzhetpes W conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ertis Pavlodar W scored in 67% of their last 18 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Okzhetpes W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ertis Pavlodar W VS Okzhetpes W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ertis Pavlodar W

(Home)
08 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
2 : 1
Ertis Pavlodar W
28 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 12
Aktobe W
25 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 2
Kyzylzhar W
18 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy W
2 : 1
Ertis Pavlodar W
11 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
2 : 0
Altai W
Page 1 of 4

Okzhetpes W

(Away)
08 Sept
Aktobe W
6 : 0
Okzhetpes W
31 Aug
Altai W
1 : 2
Okzhetpes W
25 Aug
Okzhetpes W
1 : 4
Zhenis Astana W
17 Aug
Kyzylzhar W
5 : 0
Okzhetpes W
11 Aug
Okzhetpes W
0 : 1
Yelimay Semey W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)