Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erzeni Shijak vs Apolonia Fier Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 Demrozi Stadium, Rrogozhinë
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Erzeni Shijak
20%
Draws
80%
Apolonia Fier
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apolonia Fier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Erzeni Shijak haven't matched Apolonia Fier's recent run of results.
  • Apolonia Fier are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Erzeni Shijak Clean Sheet 26%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzeni Shijak Apolonia Fier
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.6 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Apolonia Fier
1:5
Feb 1, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Apolonia Fier
0:0
Oct 30, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Erzeni Shijak
5:0
Jan 22, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Apolonia Fier
1:1
Sep 11, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Erzeni Shijak
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzeni Shijak 21 / 100
Apolonia Fier 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzeni Shijak Apolonia Fier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apolonia Fier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apolonia Fier's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 38 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Apolonia Fier lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Erzeni Shijak scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erzeni Shijak VS Apolonia Fier
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzeni Shijak

(Home)
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
20 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
2 : 3
Kastrioti
13 Apr
Flamurtari
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
05 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
1 : 5
Apolonia Fier
30 Mar
Besa Kavaje
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
Page 1 of 6

Apolonia Fier

(Away)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2
Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0
Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vora 33 24 4 5 55:24 76
2 Flamurtari 33 23 6 4 62:21 75
3 Besa Kavaje 33 22 8 3 54:18 74
4 Burreli 33 16 10 7 36:22 58
5 Pogradeci 33 14 7 12 33:35 49
6 Apolonia Fier 33 11 12 10 45:32 45
7 Lushnja 33 13 5 15 39:41 44
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 5 16 35:48 41
9 Kastrioti 33 11 5 17 35:49 38
10 Kukesi 33 8 4 21 29:56 28
11 KF Valbona 33 3 7 23 29:59 16
12 Erzeni Shijak 33 2 5 26 16:63 11
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 (Relegation)