Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erzeni Shijak vs Apolonia Fier

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 Demrozi Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Erzeni Shijak
11%
Draws
80%
Apolonia Fier
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Apolonia Fier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Erzeni Shijak haven't matched Apolonia Fier's recent run of results.
  • Apolonia Fier are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Erzeni Shijak Clean Sheet 28%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzeni Shijak Apolonia Fier
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 4 14
Draws 4 11
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Apolonia Fier
1:5
Feb 1, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Apolonia Fier
0:0
Oct 30, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Erzeni Shijak
5:0
Jan 22, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Apolonia Fier
1:1
Sep 11, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Erzeni Shijak
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzeni Shijak 14 / 100
Apolonia Fier 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzeni Shijak Apolonia Fier

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apolonia Fier's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 42 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Apolonia Fier lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Erzeni Shijak scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Apolonia Fier
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vora33244555:2476
2Flamurtari33236462:2175
3Besa Kavaje33228354:1874
4Burreli331610736:2258
5Pogradeci331471233:3549
6Apolonia Fier3311121045:3245
7Lushnja331351539:4144
8Korabi Peshkopi331251635:4841
9Kastrioti331151735:4938
10Kukesi33842129:5628
11KF Valbona33372329:5916
12Erzeni Shijak33252616:6311