Sport Picks

Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 Demrozi Stadium

Korabi Peshkopi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erzeni Shijak play Korabi Peshkopi in the Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025. Korabi Peshkopi are favorites here. Recently, Erzeni Shijak averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Korabi Peshkopi averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Erzeni Shijak won 1, Korabi Peshkopi won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 27, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Erzeni Shijak and 1.05 for Korabi Peshkopi. This points to a Korabi Peshkopi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Erzeni Shijak

21%

Draws

57%

Korabi Peshkopi

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Korabi Peshkopi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Erzeni Shijak picked up more points recently compared to Korabi Peshkopi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Erzeni Shijak Clean Sheet 22%

Korabi Peshkopi Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Erzeni Shijak	Korabi Peshkopi
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	4	10
Draws	4	9
Losses	22	13
Goals Scored	0.6	1.28
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.41

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2025 Kategoria e Parë

Erzeni Shijak vs Korabi Peshkopi

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

0:2

Dec 8, 2024 Kategoria e Parë

Korabi Peshkopi vs Erzeni Shijak

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Sep 15, 2024 Kategoria e Parë

Erzeni Shijak vs Korabi Peshkopi

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Jun 4, 2023 Abissnet Superiore

Erzeni Shijak vs Korabi Peshkopi

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Mar 13, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Korabi Peshkopi vs Erzeni Shijak

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzeni Shijak Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Korabi Peshkopi Compare

Top Goalscorer Pjeshka P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marku T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzeni Shijak 24 / 100

Korabi Peshkopi 53 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Erzeni Shijak Korabi Peshkopi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korabi Peshkopi Win (2)

Secondary Pick Korabi Peshkopi & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +57.1%

7.14

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Erzeni Shijak attacking → ← attacking Korabi Peshkopi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzeni Shijak scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Korabi Peshkopi let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Erzeni Shijak went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Korabi Peshkopi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 39

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vora	33	24	4	5	55:24	76
2	Flamurtari	33	23	6	4	62:21	75
3	Besa Kavaje	33	22	8	3	54:18	74
4	Burreli	33	16	10	7	36:22	58
5	Pogradeci	33	14	7	12	33:35	49
6	Apolonia Fier	33	11	12	10	45:32	45
7	Lushnja	33	13	5	15	39:41	44
8	Korabi Peshkopi	33	12	5	16	35:48	41
9	Kastrioti	33	11	5	17	35:49	38
10	Kukesi	33	8	4	21	29:56	28
11	KF Valbona	33	3	7	23	29:59	16
12	Erzeni Shijak	33	2	5	26	16:63	11