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Erzeni Shijak vs Lushnja Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 Demrozi Stadium, Rrogozhinë
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Kamissoko F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lushnja in this Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lushnja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Erzeni Shijak
15%
Draws
85%
Lushnja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lushnja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lushnja lately — more wins on the board than Erzeni Shijak.
  • Model gives Lushnja a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Erzeni Shijak Clean Sheet 25%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzeni Shijak Lushnja
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.59 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Erzeni Shijak
3:0
Jan 12, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Lushnja
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Erzeni Shijak
0:0
Apr 16, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Erzeni Shijak
1:0
Dec 4, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Lushnja
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzeni Shijak 29 / 100
Lushnja 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzeni Shijak Lushnja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lushnja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lushnja conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Lushnja registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Erzeni Shijak scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erzeni Shijak VS Lushnja
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzeni Shijak

(Home)
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
20 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
2 : 3
Kastrioti
13 Apr
Flamurtari
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
05 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
1 : 5
Apolonia Fier
30 Mar
Besa Kavaje
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
Page 1 of 6

Lushnja

(Away)
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vora 33 24 4 5 55:24 76
2 Flamurtari 33 23 6 4 62:21 75
3 Besa Kavaje 33 22 8 3 54:18 74
4 Burreli 33 16 10 7 36:22 58
5 Pogradeci 33 14 7 12 33:35 49
6 Apolonia Fier 33 11 12 10 45:32 45
7 Lushnja 33 13 5 15 39:41 44
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 5 16 35:48 41
9 Kastrioti 33 11 5 17 35:49 38
10 Kukesi 33 8 4 21 29:56 28
11 KF Valbona 33 3 7 23 29:59 16
12 Erzeni Shijak 33 2 5 26 16:63 11
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 (Relegation)