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Erzurumspor FK vs Adanademirspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Akpinar M.
Assist: Tozlu E.
37' Event
Kabak A.
46'
Sub
Kirtay Y. In: Kara O.
Out: Kirtay Y.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Erzurumspor FK and Adanademirspor finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erzurumspor FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Erzurumspor FK
6%
Draws
4%
Adanademirspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Erzurumspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Erzurumspor FK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Erzurumspor FK taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 20%
Adanademirspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzurumspor FK Adanademirspor
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 23 1
Draws 5 2
Losses 5 28
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Adanademirspor
7:0
Sep 20, 2025 1. Lig
Adanademirspor vs Erzurumspor FK
0:3
Jul 1, 2020 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Adanademirspor
1:2
Dec 8, 2019 1. Lig
Adanademirspor vs Erzurumspor FK
1:0
Jul 30, 2019 Club Friendly
Erzurumspor FK vs Adanademirspor
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Akpinar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Adanademirspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzurumspor FK 85 / 100
Adanademirspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzurumspor FK Adanademirspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzurumspor FK's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Adanademirspor has conceded goals in 100% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Erzurumspor FK stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erzurumspor FK VS Adanademirspor
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzurumspor FK

(Home)
23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0
Rizespor
02 May
Corum FK
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
19 Apr
Bodrumspor
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 7

Adanademirspor

(Away)
01 May
Istanbulspor AS
8 : 1
Adanademirspor
25 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 3
Umraniyespor
19 Apr
Boluspor
6 : 0
Adanademirspor
12 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 6
Igdir FK
07 Apr
Hatayspor
4 : 0
Adanademirspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
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