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Erzurumspor FK vs Amedspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
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Match Events

35'
Demirtas K.
38'
Ucar M.
63' Event
Tozlu E.
Assist: Crociata G.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Erzurumspor FK and Amedspor finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erzurumspor FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Erzurumspor FK
22%
Draws
18%
Amedspor
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Erzurumspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Erzurumspor FK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Erzurumspor FK's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 68%
Amedspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzurumspor FK Amedspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 16
Draws 5 10
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Amedspor
2:0
Aug 18, 2025 1. Lig
Amedspor vs Erzurumspor FK
2:2
Mar 16, 2025 1. Lig
Amedspor vs Erzurumspor FK
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Amedspor
2:0
May 16, 2017 2. Lig Red Group
Amedspor vs Erzurumspor FK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Tozlu E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baiye B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Amedspor Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzurumspor FK 68 / 100
Amedspor 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzurumspor FK Amedspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzurumspor FK found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Erzurumspor FK stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Amedspor has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erzurumspor FK VS Amedspor
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzurumspor FK

(Home)
23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0
Rizespor
02 May
Corum FK
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
19 Apr
Bodrumspor
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
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Amedspor

(Away)
16 Jul
Amedspor
2 : 0
Dinamo Batumi
02 May
Igdir FK
3 : 3
Amedspor
26 Apr
Amedspor
1 : 1
Bodrumspor
19 Apr
Bandirmaspor
2 : 0
Amedspor
13 Apr
Amedspor
2 : 2
Umraniyespor
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)