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Erzurumspor FK vs Eyupspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erzurumspor FK host Eyupspor in the Super Lig. Little to choose between these two on current form. Eyupspor have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Erzurumspor FK have conceded 1 and scored 1.97. Past meetings favor Eyupspor slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 11, 2024, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.25, favoring Erzurumspor FK. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Erzurumspor FK
15%
Draws
26%
Eyupspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erzurumspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erzurumspor FK lately — more wins on the board than Eyupspor.
  • Win probability leans Erzurumspor FK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 19%
Eyupspor Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzurumspor FK Eyupspor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Eyupspor
0:4
Dec 25, 2023 1. Lig
Eyupspor vs Erzurumspor FK
3:0
Apr 3, 2023 1. Lig
Eyupspor vs Erzurumspor FK
1:1
Oct 30, 2022 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Eyupspor
0:1
Feb 17, 2022 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Eyupspor
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzurumspor FK 85 / 100
Eyupspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzurumspor FK Eyupspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erzurumspor FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzurumspor FK scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Eyupspor conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Erzurumspor FK has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erzurumspor FK VS Eyupspor
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzurumspor FK

(Home)
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Konyaspor
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4
Galatasaray
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Eyupspor

(Away)
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0
Eyupspor
12 Sept
Eyupspor
0 : 2
Rizespor
06 Sept
Corum FK
3 : 0
Eyupspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
23 Aug
Eyupspor
0 : 1
Gaziantep
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amedspor 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Kasimpasa 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
9 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
12 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
13 Genclerbirligi 6 2 1 3 5:13 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)