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Erzurumspor FK vs Goztepe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erzurumspor FK host Goztepe in the Super Lig. Little to choose between these two on current form. Erzurumspor FK have averaged 1.9 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Goztepe's 1.62 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Erzurumspor FK have won 1 to Goztepe's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 9, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.56) back Erzurumspor FK to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Erzurumspor FK
20%
Draws
45%
Goztepe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Goztepe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erzurumspor FK lately — more wins on the board than Goztepe.
  • Model gives Goztepe a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 15%
Goztepe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzurumspor FK Goztepe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2025 Turkish Cup
Erzurumspor FK vs Goztepe
0:1
Apr 8, 2024 1. Lig
Goztepe vs Erzurumspor FK
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Goztepe
3:2
Jan 21, 2023 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Goztepe
0:1
Aug 21, 2022 1. Lig
Goztepe vs Erzurumspor FK
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzurumspor FK 27 / 100
Goztepe 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzurumspor FK Goztepe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goztepe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Erzurumspor FK scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Goztepe conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Erzurumspor FK stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erzurumspor FK VS Goztepe
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzurumspor FK

(Home)
31 Oct
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 3
Corum FK
24 Oct
Gaziantep
1 : 3
Erzurumspor FK
17 Oct
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 0
Eyupspor
10 Oct
Alanyaspor
0 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
Page 1 of 6

Goztepe

(Away)
31 Oct
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Goztepe
25 Oct
Goztepe
2 : 0
Corum FK
18 Oct
Kocaelispor
1 : 2
Goztepe
12 Oct
Eyupspor
0 : 4
Goztepe
20 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 2
Rizespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 10 8 1 1 23:12 25
2 Amedspor 10 7 2 1 25:11 23
3 Trabzonspor 10 7 1 2 24:8 22
4 Besiktas 10 6 1 3 20:12 19
5 Kasimpasa 10 4 5 1 15:11 17
6 Fenerbahce 10 5 1 4 24:10 16
7 Corum FK 10 5 1 4 21:16 16
8 Kocaelispor 10 5 1 4 11:9 16
9 Goztepe 10 4 3 3 21:17 15
10 Basaksehir 10 4 2 4 17:16 14
11 Erzurumspor FK 10 4 2 4 9:15 14
12 Alanyaspor 10 3 3 4 9:16 12
13 Rizespor 10 3 2 5 11:15 11
14 Genclerbirligi 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
15 Konyaspor 10 2 2 6 6:13 8
16 Gaziantep 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
17 Samsunspor 10 1 1 8 10:26 4
18 Eyupspor 10 1 0 9 3:28 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)