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Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
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Match Events

17' Event
Tozlu E.
Assist: Giorbelidze G.
26'
Baniya R.
45'
Jevtovic M.

AI Match Summary

Erzurumspor FK in this Super Lig matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erzurumspor FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Erzurumspor FK
35%
Draws
28%
Konyaspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Erzurumspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Erzurumspor FK have won more games recently than Konyaspor.
  • Win probability leans Erzurumspor FK's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Konyaspor have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 20%
Konyaspor Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzurumspor FK Konyaspor
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.94 1.18
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor
1:0
Jul 5, 2022 Club Friendly
Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor
0:4
Jul 25, 2021 Club Friendly
Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor
1:2
Apr 4, 2021 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor
1:2
Dec 5, 2020 Super Lig
Konyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Tozlu E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Konyaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzurumspor FK 36 / 100
Konyaspor 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzurumspor FK Konyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzurumspor FK found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Konyaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Erzurumspor FK has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erzurumspor FK VS Konyaspor
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzurumspor FK

(Home)
10 Oct
Alanyaspor
0 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Konyaspor
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
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Konyaspor

(Away)
11 Oct
Konyaspor
0 : 0
Basaksehir
30 Sept
Konyaspor
2 : 2
Palestine
18 Sept
Kasimpasa
0 : 0
Konyaspor
12 Sept
Konyaspor
1 : 0
Trabzonspor
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Konyaspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Besiktas 7 5 0 2 16:8 15
3 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
4 Fenerbahce 7 4 1 2 19:6 13
5 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
6 Alanyaspor 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
7 Kocaelispor 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
8 Corum FK 7 3 1 3 16:12 10
9 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
10 Rizespor 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
11 Basaksehir 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
12 Gaziantep 7 2 2 3 7:10 8
13 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
14 Erzurumspor FK 7 2 2 3 3:11 8
15 Konyaspor 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
16 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)