Sport Picks
Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa FK Prediction & H2H Stats
Turkey
1. Lig 2025/2026 Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum 
Match Events
4'
4'
Tozlu E.
8'
8'
Ibik A.
Own Goal
20'
20'
Tozlu E.
Assist: Akgun S.
AI Match Summary
The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Erzurumspor FK and Manisa FK finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erzurumspor FK.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Erzurumspor FK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Erzurumspor FK carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Erzurumspor FK's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 17%
Manisa FK Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Manisa FK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa FK
8:1
Oct 18, 2025 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK
1:1
Mar 28, 2025 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa FK
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK
2:0
Jan 27, 2024 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Erzurumspor FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Tozlu E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rodriguez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Manisa FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Lindseth J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erzurumspor FK 36 / 100
Manisa FK 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erzurumspor FK Manisa FK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Erzurumspor FK scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Manisa FK let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Erzurumspor FK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Erzurumspor FK VS Manisa FK
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Erzurumspor FK
(Home) 20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Konyaspor
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4 Galatasaray
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Konyaspor
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4 Galatasaray
23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1 Al Arabi (Kuwait)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0 Rizespor
Page 1 of 3
Manisa FK
(Away) 20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1 Istanbulspor AS
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2 Bursaspor
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2 Manisa FK
30 Aug
Manisa FK
0 : 0 Bodrumspor
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2 Manisa FK
24 Aug
Sivasspor
2 : 2 Manisa FK
07 Aug
Boluspor
1 : 2 Manisa FK
26 Apr
Keciorengucu
2 : 1 Manisa FK
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erzurumspor FK | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum FK | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | 14 |
| 20 | Adanademirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -54 |
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