Sport Picks
Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
Super Lig Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum 
Match Events
18'
18'
Cardoso M.
33'
33'
Owusu E.
45'
45'
Cardoso M.
AI Match Summary
The Super Lig game between Erzurumspor FK and Samsunspor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erzurumspor FK.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erzurumspor FK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Erzurumspor FK carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Erzurumspor FK's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 68%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor
1:0
Jan 30, 2023 1. Lig
Samsunspor vs Erzurumspor FK
2:1
Aug 27, 2022 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor
2:2
Mar 19, 2022 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor
1:2
Oct 23, 2021 1. Lig
Samsunspor vs Erzurumspor FK
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Erzurumspor FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Cardoso M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Samsunspor Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erzurumspor FK 95 / 100
Samsunspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erzurumspor FK Samsunspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Erzurumspor FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Samsunspor lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Erzurumspor FK scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Samsunspor has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Erzurumspor FK VS Samsunspor
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Erzurumspor FK
(Home) 10 Oct
Alanyaspor
0 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Konyaspor
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Konyaspor
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4 Galatasaray
23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1 Al Arabi (Kuwait)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0 Rizespor
Page 1 of 3
Samsunspor
(Away) 10 Oct
Samsunspor
0 : 3 Trabzonspor
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
12 Sept
Samsunspor
1 : 5 Corum FK
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0 Samsunspor
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2 Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0 Samsunspor
22 Aug
Rizespor
0 : 2 Samsunspor
08 Aug
Kasimpasa
3 : 0 Samsunspor
01 Aug
Westerlo
1 : 2 Samsunspor
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 2 | Besiktas | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 8 | Corum FK | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 10 |
| 9 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 11 | Basaksehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 8 |
| 12 | Gaziantep | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:15 | 8 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:11 | 8 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Goztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 3 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
