Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2023/2024 Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu

Erzurumspor FK

1 - 0

Tuzlaspor

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Sub

Asatekin S. In: Cinar Z.

Out: Asatekin S.

28'

Mamba S.

33'

Tozlu E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2023/2024 game between Erzurumspor FK and Tuzlaspor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erzurumspor FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Erzurumspor FK

39%

Draws

31%

Tuzlaspor

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Erzurumspor FK carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 68%

Tuzlaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Erzurumspor FK	Tuzlaspor
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	23	8
Draws	5	10
Losses	4	11
Goals Scored	3	0
Goals Conceded	0.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 1. Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Tuzlaspor

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Oct 28, 2023 1. Lig

Tuzlaspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Feb 4, 2023 1. Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Tuzlaspor

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Sep 3, 2022 1. Lig

Tuzlaspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

4:1

Apr 20, 2022 1. Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Tuzlaspor

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Tozlu E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.31

Avg xA / game 1.5

Tuzlaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzurumspor FK 41 / 100

Tuzlaspor 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Erzurumspor FK Tuzlaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERZ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzurumspor FK scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Erzurumspor FK went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Tuzlaspor conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Erzurumspor FK VS -

3 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

88% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eyupspor	34	24	3	7	77:31	75
2	Goztepe	34	21	7	6	60:20	70
3	Sakaryaspor	34	17	9	8	50:35	60
4	Bodrumspor	34	15	12	7	43:22	57
5	Corum FK	34	16	8	10	55:36	56
6	Kocaelispor	34	16	7	11	48:41	55
7	Boluspor	34	15	8	11	33:35	53
8	Genclerbirligi	34	13	12	9	39:33	51
9	Bandirmaspor	34	13	11	10	49:32	50
10	Erzurumspor FK	34	12	11	11	30:34	44
11	Umraniyespor	34	12	7	15	40:47	43
12	Manisa FK	34	9	13	12	40:40	40
13	Keciorengucu	34	10	10	14	34:43	40
14	Adanaspor AS	34	11	6	17	28:45	39
15	Sanliurfaspor	34	9	11	14	32:37	38
16	Tuzlaspor	34	9	11	14	35:47	38
17	Altay	34	5	4	25	16:76	10
18	Giresunspor	34	2	4	28	16:71	7