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ES Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger Prediction & H2H Stats

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ES Ben Aknoun host USM Alger in the Ligue 1. This one's hard to separate. USM Alger have shipped 0.85 goals a game lately, while ES Ben Aknoun have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor ES Ben Aknoun slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 4, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.38, favoring USM Alger. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
ES Ben Aknoun
35%
Draws
37%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USM Alger lately — more wins on the board than ES Ben Aknoun.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
ES Ben Aknoun Clean Sheet 17%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ES Ben Aknoun USM Alger
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 14
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger
2:2
Dec 18, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs ES Ben Aknoun
2:2
May 30, 2024 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs ES Ben Aknoun
0:2
Jan 23, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ES Ben Aknoun 31 / 100
USM Alger 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ES Ben Aknoun USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

ES Ben Aknoun has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

ES Ben Aknoun found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: USM Alger conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ES Ben Aknoun VS USM Alger
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ES Ben Aknoun

(Home)
18 Sept
Khenchela
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
10 Sept
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Biskra
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Saoura
06 Jun
Olympique Akbou
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
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USM Alger

(Away)
19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3
USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USM Alger 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 CR Belouizdad 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Oran 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 ES Ben Aknoun 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
5 Constantine 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
6 CR Temouchent 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
7 ES Setif 3 1 0 2 5:3 3
8 MC Alger 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 JS El Biar 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
10 Kabylie 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Olympique Akbou 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
12 Rouisset 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
13 Khenchela 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 Biskra 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
15 ASO Chlef 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Saoura 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)