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ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W vs Chatenoy W

France France

Division 2 Women 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 Women 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W
40%
Draws
29%
Chatenoy W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W haven't matched Chatenoy W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W Clean Sheet 20%
Chatenoy W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W Chatenoy W
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 1 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 4.13 4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2012 Seconde Ligue Women
ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W vs Chatenoy W
2:2
Oct 9, 2011 Seconde Ligue Women
Chatenoy W vs ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W 32 / 100
Chatenoy W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W Chatenoy W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chatenoy W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W scored in 70% of their last 23 outings.

Chatenoy W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W VS Chatenoy W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
4.13 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W

(Home)
27 May
ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W
2 : 0
Macon W
20 May
Aurillac W
6 : 1
ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W
22 Apr
Nimes W
5 : 0
ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W
15 Apr
ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W
2 : 5
Le Puy W
01 Apr
ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W
2 : 2
Chatenoy W
Page 1 of 5

Chatenoy W

(Away)
25 Jan
Chatenoy W
1 : 2
Caen W
11 Jan
Troyes W
1 : 3
Chatenoy W
12 Jan
Chatenoy W
1 : 2
Cannes W
27 May
Veore Montoison W
3 : 1
Chatenoy W
20 May
Chatenoy W
2 : 5
Monteux W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arras W22172359:1875
2Le Mans W22171462:2474
3Gravelines W22136352:1867
4Compiegne Club Oise W22132747:3163
5Dijon W22831134:3349
6Amiens W22821236:4348
7Mars Bischheim W22821236:4848
8Rouen W22741126:4147
9Cormelles W22661056:6046
10Metz W22651118:4045
11Bagneux W22461221:5040
12Gonfreville W22431513:5437
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2012/2013 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Issy W22161564:2971
2La Roche W22145367:2969
3Orvault W22142652:2666
4Montigny-le-Bretonneux W22141769:2765
5Bordeaux W22114742:2559
6Angers W22113845:4258
7Conde-sur-Noireau W22104845:3656
8F.A.S Herblay W22921145:3548
9ES des Trois Cites Poitiers W22571023:4244
10USC Corne W22551219:4642
11Tours W22361324:6137
12Rennes W22002215:11219
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2012/2013 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toulouse W22192189:2081
2Albi-Marssac W22154356:2371
3Monteux W22126456:2064
4Grenoble W22118354:3063
5Nimes W22115641:3360
6Le Puy W22104846:2956
7Veore Montoison W22103942:4755
8Aurillac W2294949:5653
9US Blanzy Foot W22531434:6240
10Macon W22431533:5637
11Chatenoy W22221825:8030
12ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W22121919:8824
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2012/2013 (Main)