Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ES Setif vs Kabylie

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ES Setif host Kabylie in the Ligue 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Kabylie have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while ES Setif have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.22. Past meetings favor ES Setif slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.19) back ES Setif to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ES Setif
15%
Draws
45%
Kabylie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kabylie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ES Setif come out ahead of Kabylie on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 20%
Kabylie Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ES Setif Kabylie
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.22 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Kabylie vs ES Setif
5:1
Dec 19, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Kabylie
1:0
Jun 12, 2025 Ligue 1
Kabylie vs ES Setif
2:0
Dec 13, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Kabylie
2:2
Mar 15, 2024 Ligue 1
Kabylie vs ES Setif
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ES Setif 32 / 100
Kabylie 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ES Setif Kabylie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ES Setif found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Kabylie has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: ES Setif stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ES Setif VS Kabylie
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ES Setif

(Home)
11 Sept
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
ES Setif
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
20 Aug
ES Setif
2 : 1
Magra
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0
MC Alger
Page 1 of 6

Kabylie

(Away)
17 Sept
CR Temouchent
1 : 0
Kabylie
04 Sept
Kabylie
1 : 0
Rouisset
05 Jun
Kabylie
0 : 0
CR Belouizdad
20 May
ASO Chlef
1 : 2
Kabylie
08 May
Kabylie
5 : 1
ES Setif
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Constantine 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 USM Alger 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
4 ES Ben Aknoun 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 CR Temouchent 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
6 Oran 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
7 Rouisset 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
8 Olympique Akbou 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Kabylie 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Khenchela 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Biskra 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 ASO Chlef 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
13 MC Alger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Saoura 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 ES Setif 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
16 JS El Biar 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)