Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ES Setif vs MC Alger

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade 8 Mai 1945, Sétif
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Zerrouki M.
52'
Bangoura A.
57'
Sub
Boucherit M. In: Ferhat Z.
Out: Boucherit M.

AI Match Summary

ES Setif in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ES Setif.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
ES Setif
15%
Draws
31%
MC Alger
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ES Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MC Alger lately — more wins on the board than ES Setif.
  • ES Setif are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 68%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ES Setif MC Alger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs MC Alger
1:0
Dec 29, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs ES Setif
2:0
May 19, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs ES Setif
4:1
Dec 1, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs MC Alger
0:0
Mar 2, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs MC Alger
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ES Setif Compare

Top Goalscorer Zerrouki M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

MC Alger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ES Setif 50 / 100
MC Alger 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ES Setif MC Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ES Setif scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

ES Setif has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: MC Alger conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ES Setif VS MC Alger
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ES Setif

(Home)
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0
MC Alger
16 May
ES Setif
3 : 1
CR Belouizdad
08 May
Kabylie
5 : 1
ES Setif
17 Apr
ES Setif
3 : 0
Oran
Page 1 of 6

MC Alger

(Away)
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1
MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2
MC Alger
27 Jul
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 1
MC Alger
05 Jun
MC Alger
2 : 0
ASO Chlef
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0
MC Alger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)