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Stadium Background

Esbjerg II vs Aarhus Fremad

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division West 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esbjerg II play Aarhus Fremad in the 2nd Division West 2008/2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Esbjerg II averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Aarhus Fremad averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Esbjerg II won 3, Aarhus Fremad won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2010 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Esbjerg II and 1.36 for Aarhus Fremad. This points to a Esbjerg II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Esbjerg II
29%
Draws
30%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Esbjerg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Esbjerg II picked up more points recently compared to Aarhus Fremad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Esbjerg II Clean Sheet 18%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg II Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.39

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2010 2nd Division West
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg II
1:1
Oct 31, 2009 2nd Division West
Esbjerg II vs Aarhus Fremad
3:2
Apr 13, 2009 2nd Division West
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg II
0:2
Aug 16, 2008 2nd Division West
Esbjerg II vs Aarhus Fremad
1:0
May 20, 2006 2nd Division West
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg II
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg II 41 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg II Aarhus Fremad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Esbjerg II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esbjerg II attacking → ← attacking Aarhus Fremad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esbjerg II scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Aarhus Fremad let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Esbjerg II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aarhus Fremad lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 39
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Fyn30197475:3264
2Odense II30183961:4557
3Brabrand30156950:3251
4Jammerbugt301631163:4851
5Esbjerg II30156953:4651
6Randers Freja301541154:3949
7Hobro30139854:4848
8Aarhus Fremad301361147:4745
9Svendborg301421453:5144
10Varde301341349:5843
11Aalborg II301141547:5037
12Ikast30881444:6332
13Vendsyssel FF30791435:4830
14Aarhus II30681642:6126
15Naesby30681631:5226
16Skovbakken30632135:7321