Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esbjerg vs Aalborg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esbjerg host Aalborg in the 1st Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Aalborg have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Esbjerg have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.72. Head-to-head, Esbjerg have won 2 to Aalborg's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.81 - 1.50) back Esbjerg to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Esbjerg
30%
Draws
29%
Aalborg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esbjerg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Esbjerg lately — more wins on the board than Aalborg.
  • Win probability leans Esbjerg's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 16%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Aalborg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Esbjerg
1:1
Aug 19, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Aalborg
1:0
Oct 30, 2024 Betano Pokalen
Esbjerg vs Aalborg
0:2
Jun 30, 2021 Club Friendly
Aalborg vs Esbjerg
0:0
Aug 19, 2020 Club Friendly
Esbjerg vs Aalborg
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 75 / 100
Aalborg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Aalborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esbjerg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Esbjerg found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Esbjerg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Aalborg
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg

(Home)
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
25 Aug
Skive
1 : 5
Esbjerg
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Aalborg

(Away)
12 Sept
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Aalborg
05 Sept
AB Copenhagen
0 : 2
Aalborg
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
25 Aug
Vatanspor
2 : 1
Aalborg
21 Aug
Hobro
2 : 1
Aalborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vejle 8 5 3 0 20:11 18
2 Hvidovre IF 8 5 3 0 15:8 18
3 Fredericia 8 3 4 1 10:4 13
4 Aarhus Fremad 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
5 Hobro 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
6 Aalborg 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
7 Vendsyssel FF 8 2 3 3 8:12 9
8 Hillerod 8 2 2 4 12:13 8
9 Kolding IF 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
10 AB Copenhagen 8 1 3 4 8:10 6
11 Esbjerg 8 1 2 5 10:16 5
12 Koge 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)