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Stadium Background

Esbjerg vs Aalborg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Foss J.
Own Goal
9' Event
Ampofo J.
Assist: Strunck N.
26' Event
Kubel M.
Assist: Arnorsson N. A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1st Division matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Esbjerg
35%
Draws
30%
Aalborg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aalborg lately — more wins on the board than Esbjerg.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 16%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Aalborg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Aalborg
3:3
Mar 21, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Esbjerg
1:1
Aug 19, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Aalborg
1:0
Oct 30, 2024 Betano Pokalen
Esbjerg vs Aalborg
0:2
Jun 30, 2021 Club Friendly
Aalborg vs Esbjerg
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ampofo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brajanac M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Aalborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kubel M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaasa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 31 / 100
Aalborg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Aalborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esbjerg scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Aalborg conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Esbjerg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Aalborg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg

(Home)
31 Oct
Esbjerg
1 : 1
Hvidovre IF
28 Oct
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Nordsjaelland
24 Oct
Esbjerg
2 : 1
Fredericia
16 Oct
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Esbjerg
10 Oct
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Aalborg
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Aalborg

(Away)
30 Oct
Aalborg
1 : 1
Hobro
24 Oct
Hillerod
2 : 1
Aalborg
17 Oct
Aalborg
0 : 1
Vejle
10 Oct
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Aalborg
02 Oct
Randers FC
0 : 1
Aalborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 13 8 5 0 24:13 29
2 Vejle 13 6 6 1 25:16 24
3 Fredericia 13 6 5 2 21:9 23
4 AB Copenhagen 13 5 3 5 18:15 18
5 Aarhus Fremad 13 4 6 3 12:11 18
6 Hobro 13 4 4 5 16:23 16
7 Kolding IF 13 3 6 4 16:17 15
8 Aalborg 13 3 6 4 16:18 15
9 Hillerod 13 3 3 7 15:20 12
10 Vendsyssel FF 13 2 6 5 14:21 12
11 Koge 13 2 5 6 19:25 11
12 Esbjerg 13 2 5 6 16:24 11
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)