Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esbjerg vs Fredericia

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Dall E.

AI Match Summary

Fredericia in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fredericia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Esbjerg
11%
Draws
80%
Fredericia
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Fredericia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Esbjerg haven't matched Fredericia's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Fredericia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fredericia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 15%
Fredericia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Fredericia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 1st Division
Fredericia vs Esbjerg
1:1
Apr 22, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
0:3
Aug 11, 2024 1st Division
Fredericia vs Esbjerg
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Fredericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Dall E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 11 / 100
Fredericia 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Fredericia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esbjerg's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fredericia conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Esbjerg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Fredericia
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg

(Home)
25 Jul
Esbjerg
1 : 1
Kolding IF
18 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Fredericia
11 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Mafra
04 Jul
Esbjerg
2 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
27 Jun
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Vejle
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Fredericia

(Away)
25 Jul
Fredericia
3 : 0
Koge
18 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Fredericia
15 Jul
Fredericia
3 : 2
Mafra
04 Jul
Holstein Kiel
1 : 3
Fredericia
27 Jun
Silkeborg
1 : 2
Fredericia
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