Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esbjerg vs Fredericia

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Dall E.

AI Match Summary

Fredericia in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fredericia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Esbjerg
30%
Draws
39%
Fredericia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fredericia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Esbjerg haven't matched Fredericia's recent run of results.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Esbjerg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fredericia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 12%
Fredericia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Fredericia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.67 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 1st Division
Fredericia vs Esbjerg
1:0
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 1st Division
Fredericia vs Esbjerg
1:1
Apr 22, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fredericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Dall E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 56 / 100
Fredericia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Fredericia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esbjerg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esbjerg's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fredericia conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Esbjerg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Fredericia
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg

(Home)
19 Sept
AB Copenhagen
3 : 0
Esbjerg
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
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Fredericia

(Away)
20 Sept
Fredericia
2 : 2
Vejle
12 Sept
Kolding IF
0 : 0
Fredericia
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Hvidovre IF
2 : 1
Fredericia
26 Aug
Fredericia
1 : 2
Odense
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