Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esbjerg vs Fredericia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Strunck N.
38'
Sub
Bjur P. In: Strandby N.
Out: Bjur P.
51'
Dauerhoj L.

AI Match Summary

Esbjerg in this 1st Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esbjerg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Esbjerg
35%
Draws
41%
Fredericia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fredericia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fredericia lately — more wins on the board than Esbjerg.
  • Fredericia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 16%
Fredericia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Fredericia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.66 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
2:1
Sep 5, 2026 1st Division
Fredericia vs Esbjerg
1:0
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 1st Division
Fredericia vs Esbjerg
1:1
Apr 22, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ampofo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fredericia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 23 / 100
Fredericia 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Fredericia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredericia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esbjerg found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Fredericia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Esbjerg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Fredericia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg

(Home)
31 Oct
Esbjerg
1 : 1
Hvidovre IF
28 Oct
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Nordsjaelland
24 Oct
Esbjerg
2 : 1
Fredericia
16 Oct
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Esbjerg
10 Oct
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Aalborg
Page 1 of 6

Fredericia

(Away)
31 Oct
Fredericia
3 : 1
AB Copenhagen
24 Oct
Esbjerg
2 : 1
Fredericia
17 Oct
Fredericia
3 : 0
Hobro
10 Oct
Hillerod
0 : 2
Fredericia
20 Sept
Fredericia
2 : 2
Vejle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 13 8 5 0 24:13 29
2 Vejle 13 6 6 1 25:16 24
3 Fredericia 13 6 5 2 21:9 23
4 AB Copenhagen 13 5 3 5 18:15 18
5 Aarhus Fremad 13 4 6 3 12:11 18
6 Hobro 13 4 4 5 16:23 16
7 Kolding IF 13 3 6 4 16:17 15
8 Aalborg 13 3 6 4 16:18 15
9 Hillerod 13 3 3 7 15:20 12
10 Vendsyssel FF 13 2 6 5 14:21 12
11 Koge 13 2 5 6 19:25 11
12 Esbjerg 13 2 5 6 16:24 11
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)