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Esbjerg vs Koge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ampofo J.
Assist: Kolawole J.
46' Event
Strunck N.
Assist: Kolawole J.
49' Event
Thomsen T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1st Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Esbjerg
35%
Draws
35%
Koge
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Esbjerg average 1.66 goals a game right now, well clear of Koge's 1.39.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Esbjerg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 12%
Koge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Koge
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Koge
2:2
Mar 6, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Esbjerg
0:1
Sep 1, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Koge
3:2
Feb 28, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Esbjerg
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Koge
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ampofo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Strunck N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Koge Compare

Top Goalscorer Brodersen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 35 / 100
Koge 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Koge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Esbjerg found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Koge conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Esbjerg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Koge
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg

(Home)
31 Oct
Esbjerg
1 : 1
Hvidovre IF
28 Oct
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Nordsjaelland
24 Oct
Esbjerg
2 : 1
Fredericia
16 Oct
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Esbjerg
10 Oct
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Aalborg
Page 1 of 6

Koge

(Away)
31 Oct
Kolding IF
3 : 2
Koge
23 Oct
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Koge
16 Oct
Koge
2 : 3
AB Copenhagen
11 Oct
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 2
Koge
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 13 8 5 0 24:13 29
2 Vejle 13 6 6 1 25:16 24
3 Fredericia 13 6 5 2 21:9 23
4 AB Copenhagen 13 5 3 5 18:15 18
5 Aarhus Fremad 13 4 6 3 12:11 18
6 Hobro 13 4 4 5 16:23 16
7 Kolding IF 13 3 6 4 16:17 15
8 Aalborg 13 3 6 4 16:18 15
9 Hillerod 13 3 3 7 15:20 12
10 Vendsyssel FF 13 2 6 5 14:21 12
11 Koge 13 2 5 6 19:25 11
12 Esbjerg 13 2 5 6 16:24 11
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)