Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esbjerg vs Koge

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ampofo J.
Assist: Kolawole J.
46' Event
Strunck N.
Assist: Kolawole J.
49' Event
Thomsen T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1st Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Esbjerg
30%
Draws
35%
Koge
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Esbjerg have won more games recently than Koge.
  • Win probability leans Esbjerg's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Esbjerg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 20%
Koge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Koge
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Koge
2:2
Mar 6, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Esbjerg
0:1
Sep 1, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Koge
3:2
Feb 28, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Esbjerg
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Koge
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ampofo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Strunck N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Koge Compare

Top Goalscorer Brodersen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 67 / 100
Koge 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Koge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esbjerg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Esbjerg found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Koge conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Esbjerg remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Koge
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg

(Home)
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
25 Aug
Skive
1 : 5
Esbjerg
21 Aug
Vejle
4 : 2
Esbjerg
15 Aug
Esbjerg
1 : 2
Hobro
Page 1 of 6

Koge

(Away)
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
23 Aug
Koge
2 : 2
Kolding IF
15 Aug
Koge
0 : 2
Hvidovre IF
08 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
3 : 1
Koge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vejle 8 5 3 0 20:11 18
2 Hvidovre IF 7 5 2 0 13:6 17
3 Aarhus Fremad 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
4 Hobro 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
5 Fredericia 7 3 3 1 10:4 12
6 Aalborg 7 3 2 2 7:7 11
7 Vendsyssel FF 8 2 3 3 8:12 9
8 AB Copenhagen 7 1 3 3 8:9 6
9 Kolding IF 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
10 Hillerod 7 1 2 4 11:13 5
11 Esbjerg 7 1 1 5 8:14 4
12 Koge 7 0 3 4 4:13 3
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)