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Esbjerg vs Mafra

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
82' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Esbjerg and Mafra finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mafra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Esbjerg
15%
Draws
59%
Mafra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mafra come out ahead of Esbjerg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Esbjerg's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 13%
Mafra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Mafra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Esbjerg vs Mafra
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 39 / 100
Mafra 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Mafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esbjerg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esbjerg's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mafra conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Esbjerg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Mafra
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg

(Home)
19 Sept
AB Copenhagen
3 : 0
Esbjerg
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
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Mafra

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0
Covilha
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
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