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Esbjerg vs Mafra

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
82' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Esbjerg and Mafra finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mafra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Esbjerg
15%
Draws
39%
Mafra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esbjerg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mafra come out ahead of Esbjerg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Esbjerg's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 18%
Mafra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Mafra
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Esbjerg vs Mafra
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 49 / 100
Mafra 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Mafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esbjerg's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mafra conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Esbjerg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Mafra
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg

(Home)
06 Aug
Bogense
0 : 6
Esbjerg
01 Aug
Hillerod
2 : 3
Esbjerg
25 Jul
Esbjerg
1 : 1
Kolding IF
18 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Fredericia
11 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Mafra
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Mafra

(Away)
01 Aug
Mafra
1 : 2
Sintrense
25 Jul
Mafra
1 : 0
Alverca
15 Jul
Fredericia
3 : 2
Mafra
11 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Mafra
16 May
CF Os Belenenses
3 : 1
Mafra
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