Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esbjerg W vs Naestved HG W

Denmark Denmark

B-Liga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Grosso M.

AI Match Summary

The B-Liga Women 2025/2026 game between Esbjerg W and Naestved HG W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naestved HG W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Esbjerg W
6%
Draws
90%
Naestved HG W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naestved HG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Naestved HG W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Naestved HG W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Esbjerg W Clean Sheet 14%
Naestved HG W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg W Naestved HG W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Esbjerg W
2:2
Mar 29, 2026 B-Liga Women
Esbjerg W vs Naestved HG W
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 B-Liga Women
Esbjerg W vs Naestved HG W
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Esbjerg W
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Esbjerg W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Naestved HG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Grosso M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg W 10 / 100
Naestved HG W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg W Naestved HG W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naestved HG W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Esbjerg W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Esbjerg W scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg W VS Naestved HG W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg W

(Home)
13 Jun
Sundby W
5 : 1
Esbjerg W
30 May
Esbjerg W
2 : 2
Aalborg W
25 May
Naestved HG W
2 : 2
Esbjerg W
09 May
B93 W
0 : 0
Esbjerg W
02 May
Esbjerg W
2 : 3
Viborg W
Page 1 of 6

Naestved HG W

(Away)
13 Jun
Aalborg W
1 : 7
Naestved HG W
31 May
Naestved HG W
3 : 2
B93 W
25 May
Naestved HG W
2 : 2
Esbjerg W
09 May
Viborg W
0 : 1
Naestved HG W
03 May
Naestved HG W
3 : 4
Sundby W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sundby W1081126:1425
2B93 W1053214:818
3Naestved HG W1052322:1617
4Viborg W1041517:1613
5Aalborg W1022613:278
6Esbjerg W1003713:243
Promotion - B-Liga Women (Main)